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Time Series Analysis On The Total Number Of Patients Treated For Malaria Fever
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MODELS OF TIME SERIES
We
usually denote the component of time series as T,TS,C and I: There Are
Two Types Of Modern That Are Appropriate For Joining Component Of Time
Series these moderns are additive and multiplicative modern.
The additive moder assumes that the valve of the original data is the sum total of other four elements it is:
T=T+S+C+I where
T is value of the originally conserved data (dependent)
T is the value of secular or trend
S is the value ofr cyclical venation and
I is the value of irregular venation
Mufti active modern on the other hand assumes that the value of the observed data is the Y = TSCI
1.1 BACKGROUND OF STUDY
one
of the factor that determine the population of a country, state local
government e.t.c is death rate, that is to say, the more the disease
infected the population of such an area and vice-versa. The fact
prompted the writer into the study of quarterly number of people given
treatment for malaria at the comprehensive health centre otan ayegbaju,
in addition to that it is done to know weather infected people come to
the hospital fur test or they stay back due to the old custom self
medication.
In order to carry our the analysis data will be collected
from daily record of the hospital at record department over some years
to get all necessity information so as to carry out computation and
predict about the nearest future by using secondary method of data
collection.
1.2SCOPE AND COVERAGE OF THE STUDT
This project work
was carried out on the number of people treated for malaria fever
between year 2001 to 2010. The data was collected from the
comprehensive health centre Otan Ayegbaju osun state.
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ABSRACT - [ Total Page(s): 1 ]This project work reveled the rate at which people are infected with malaria the least square method used for analysis showed that people are infected with malaria irrespective of the time and seasons of a successive year,There is no noticeable direction as regarding the number of patient treated for malaria over time.Also, the analysis from autoregressive moving average report shows that both autoregressive and moving average of order four were both appropriate while the report from autocorrela ... Continue reading---
